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Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
2 - 0
Millonarios

Willian (61'), Arias (73')
Cristiano (22'), Calegari (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diego (24'), Herazo (24'), Pablo Vargas (33'), Luis Marquez Gonzalez (75'), Marquez (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Fluminense and Millonarios.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawMillonarios
55.46%24.58%19.95%
Both teams to score 46.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95%54.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52%75.47%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59%19.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77%51.22%
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25%41.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78%78.21%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 55.45%
    Millonarios 19.95%
    Draw 24.58%
FluminenseDrawMillonarios
1-0 @ 13.28%
2-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 5.2%
4-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 55.45%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.08%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.95%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Millonarios

Fluminense
100%
Draw
0.0%
Millonarios
0.0%
7