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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Penarol

Cerro Porteno
1 - 0
Penarol

Cardozo (45+1')
Patino (53'), Espinola (79'), Carrascal (87'), Duarte (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Musto (53'), Elizalde (64'), Viatri (71')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
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Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawPenarol
45.31%24.6%30.09%
Both teams to score 57.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33%45.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01%67.99%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75%20.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41%52.59%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79%64.21%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 45.31%
    Penarol 30.09%
    Draw 24.6%
Cerro PortenoDrawPenarol
2-1 @ 9.24%
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-1 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.09%

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