Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno0 - 2Fluminense
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fluminense |
| 31.01% | 25.81% | 43.18% |
| Both teams to score 53.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% | 72.43% |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% | 30.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% | 66.43% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% | 23.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% | 57.19% |
| Score Analysis |
Cerro Porteno 31.01%
Fluminense 43.18%
Draw 25.81%
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 2% Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.18% |
How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Fluminense
Cerro Porteno
25.6%Draw
2.6%Fluminense
71.8%39


