Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Penarol
2 - 1
Liverpool

Ceppelini (52'), Laquintana (90+6')
Mansilla (9'), Carrizo (64'), Alvarez (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Medina (71')
Cayetano (26'), Rodriguez Elduayen (43'), Medina (45+1'), Diaz (59')
Diaz (90+8')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Liverpool

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawLiverpool
47.11%27.52%25.37%
Both teams to score 45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.24%59.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.94%80.06%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73%60.27%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36%39.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67%76.32%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 47.1%
    Liverpool 25.37%
    Draw 27.51%
PenarolDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 13.8%
2-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.74%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-1 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 47.1%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 5.91%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.37%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 10pm
Penarol
1-0
Liverpool
Ceppelini (45+3' pen.)
Alvarez (66'), Gonzalez (69'), (85')

Pintos (4'), Perez (62'), Martirena (73')
Jul 25, 2021 7pm
Liverpool
3-3
Penarol
Martinez (14'), Fernandez (41'), Medina (54')
Garcia (26'), Perez (67'), Lentinelly (69'), Diaz (86')
Ceppelini (60' pen., 90+3'), Alvarez (65')
Canobbio (61'), Ceppelini (62'), Alvarez (88')
Feb 26, 2021 8pm
Liverpool
1-1
Penarol
Ignacio Ramirez (51')
Romero (11'), Perez (31'), Diaz (60')
Torres (35')
Gonzalez (50')
Sep 5, 2020 9.30pm
Penarol
3-2
Liverpool
Pereira (27' og.), Terans (34', 39')
Torres (64'), Bravo (87'), (87'), Piquerez (90+4')
Figueredo (9'), Correa (87')
Figueredo (9'), Candido (58')
Oct 6, 2019 8pm
Liverpool
1-0
Penarol
Romero (87')
Maulella (24'), Ocampo (74')

Rojas (37'), Davila (88'), Pereira (92')