Danubio
0 - 1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.88%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Penarol
18.51%	25.86%	55.64%

Both teams to score 41.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.89%

60.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.68%

80.32%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.04%

46.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.54%

82.46%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24%

21.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06%

54.94%

Score Analysis

Danubio 18.51%

Penarol 55.63%

Draw 25.84%

Danubio	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 4.45% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.51%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 15.58% 0-2 @ 11.88% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-3 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-4 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.8% Total : 55.63%