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Copa Libertadores

Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 17, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 0
Cerro Porteno


Menosse (20'), Elizalde (72'), Gargano (79')
FT

Moreno (20'), Rodriguez (64'), Aquino (67'), Benitez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Penarol and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro Porteno

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
    Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
    Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

    Result
    PenarolDrawCerro Porteno
    50.22% (0.16 0.16)23.32% (0.027999999999999 0.03)26.46% (-0.187 -0.19)
    Both teams to score 58.74% (-0.272 -0.27)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    57.76% (-0.28 -0.28)42.23% (0.282 0.28)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    35.36% (-0.281 -0.28)64.64% (0.283 0.28)
    Penarol Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)16.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.98% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)47.02% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
    Cerro Porteno Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    70.73% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)29.27% (0.29 0.29)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    34.76% (-0.354 -0.35)65.24% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
    Score Analysis
        Penarol 50.22%
        Cerro Porteno 26.46%
        Draw 23.31%
    PenarolDrawCerro Porteno
    2-1 @ 9.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    1-0 @ 8.81% (0.097 0.1)
    2-0 @ 7.82% (0.074 0.07)
    3-1 @ 5.68%
    3-0 @ 4.63% (0.037 0.04)
    3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
    4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.05% (0.014 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
    Other @ 4.07%
    Total : 50.22%
    		1-1 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
    2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
    0-0 @ 4.96% (0.062 0.06)
    3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.21%
    Total : 23.31%
    		1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
    0-1 @ 6.09% (0.028 0.03)
    0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
    0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.017 -0.02)
    Other @ 3.31%
    Total : 26.46%

    How you voted: Penarol vs Cerro Porteno

    Penarol
    31.8%
    Draw
    36.4%
    Cerro Porteno
    31.8%
    22
    Head to Head
    Apr 28, 2022 1am
    Cerro Porteno
    1-0
    Penarol
    Cardozo (45+1')
    Patino (53'), Espinola (79'), Carrascal (87'), Duarte (90+3')

    Musto (53'), Elizalde (64'), Viatri (71')