Copa Libertadores
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-
Hernan Menosse
20'
-
Edgarl Elizalde
72'
-
Walter Gargano
79'
-
Marcelo Moreno
20'
-
Alan Rodriguez
64'
-
Claudio Aquino
67'
-
Alan Benitez
79'
Penarol vs Cerro Porteno - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result
Penarol
50.22%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
23.32%
▲
(+0.03)
Cerro Porteno
26.46%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
58.74%
▼
(-0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.76%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
42.23%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
35.36%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
64.64%
▲
(+0.29)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
83.05%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
16.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
52.98%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
47.02%
▲
(+0.09)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5
70.73%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
29.27%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
34.76%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
65.24%
▲
(+0.36)
Score analysis
Penarol
50.22%
Draw
23.31%
Cerro Porteno
26.46%
Penarol
2-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 50.22%
1-0 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 50.22%
Draw
1-1
@
10.81%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.31%
2-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.31%
Cerro Porteno
1-2
@
6.64%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 26.46%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
Angel Cardozo
45'+1'
-
Juan Patino
53'
-
Alberto Espinola
79'
-
Rafael Carrascal
87'
-
Alexis Duarte
90'+3'
-
Damian Musto
53'
-
Edgarl Elizalde
64'
-
Lucas Viatri
71'