The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Penarol and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boston River | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Penarol | 15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Porteno
It should be a fascinating tactical chess match between a pair of sides who know how to defend effectively, though we are giving the edge to the Paraguayans, who have shown a little more commitment and consistency behind the ball. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
50.22% ( 0.16) | 23.32% ( 0.03) | 26.46% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
