Plaza Colonia
0 - 1
Penarol

Kidd (17'), Suhr (32'), Guirin (66'), Guirin (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ceppelini (19' pen.)
Ceppelini (45+1'), Musto (58'), Laquintana (78')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Penarol
33.92%	28.99%	37.08%

Both teams to score 44.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.13%

61.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.36%

81.64%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9%

34.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22%

70.78%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98%

32.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52%

68.48%

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 33.92%

Penarol 37.08%

Draw 28.98%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.98%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.08%