May 21, 2022 at 11.30pm UK at Estadio Campeón del Siglo
1 - 0
Menosse (44'), Elizalde (89')
Rodriguez (44'), Villa (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Boston River.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.