Boston River logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 10, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja

Boston River
0 - 6
Nacional


Adrian Valdez (7'), Alberti (16'), Rodriguez (35'), Villa (82')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Carballo (3', 19' pen., 79' pen.), Trezza (45+1'), Zabala (63'), Fagundez (84')
Castro (14'), Rodriguez (31'), Marichal (38'), Carballo (56'), Fagundez (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

Last Six:
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawNacional
29.96%26.49%43.55%
Both teams to score 50.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33%53.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83%75.16%
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.17%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08%58.92%
Score Analysis
    Boston River 29.96%
    Nacional 43.54%
    Draw 26.49%
Boston RiverDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.96%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.54%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 10pm
Nacional
3-2
Boston River
Trezza (20'), Ramirez (66'), Fernandez (90+2')
Marichal (13'), Polenta (22'), Mendez (58'), Rodriguez (64'), Bergessio (90+8')
Rodriguez (30'), Alvarez (74')
Adrian Valdez (39'), Falcon (90+8')
Adrian Valdez (90+4')
Jun 19, 2021 7pm
Boston River
1-1
Nacional
Rodriguez (68')
Rodriguez (79'), Moreira (90+5')
Bergessio (50')
Trezza (33'), Mendez (62'), Almeida (70'), Fernandez (72')
Mar 25, 2021 12.15am
Nacional
1-2
Boston River
Carballo (71')
Orihuela (59'), Lores (66'), Bergessio (85'), Laborda (89')
Freitas (24'), Larrosa (47')
Romero (69'), Freitas (72'), Falcon (81'), Arias (90+3')
Silva Torrejon (33')
Nov 29, 2020 11pm
Boston River
0-1
Nacional

Adrian Valdez (59'), Nadruz (79')
Villar (80')
Martinez (7'), Mendez (41'), Carballo (78')
Oct 7, 2020 8pm
Boston River
1-1
Nacional
W (42' pen.)
(63'), Rodriguez (70'), Flores (90'), (90+3')
Flores (90+3')
Castro (49')
Corujo (21'), Bergessio (41')
Castro (66')
rhs 2.0


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