Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 13, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 1
Torque

Fagundez (27')
Rodriguez (35'), Coelho (54'), Fagundez (70'), Repetto (70'), Carballo (84'), Trezza (90+3'), Repetto (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arismendi (59')
Pena (23'), Milesi (70'), Arismendi (72'), Morales (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo City Torque
46.06%24.89%29.05%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5%47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29%69.71%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33%20.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.74%53.26%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9%30.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76%66.25%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 46.06%
    Montevideo City Torque 29.05%
    Draw 24.89%
NacionalDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.06%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 29.05%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2021 12am
Nacional
2-0
Torque
Zunino (45+2'), Almeida (47')
Almeida (9'), Fernandez (45')

Allende (17'), Pizzichillo (39'), Brun (45'), Catarozzi (59')
Jul 11, 2021 10pm
Torque
3-0
Nacional
Rodriguez (45+1'), Cejas (60'), Pizzichillo (69')
Catarozzi (24'), Arismendi (30'), Scotto (82')

Corujo (41')
Feb 11, 2021 12.45am
Torque
1-2
Nacional
Guerrero (69')
Rak (23'), Otormin (28'), Allende (62'), Pizzichillo (76'), Teuten (88'), Coccaro (90+3')
Carballo (41'), Bergessio (43')
Orihuela (7'), Garcia (81')
Aug 20, 2020 9.30pm
Nacional
2-0
Torque
Bergessio (18'), Rivero (33')
Gedoz (37'), Yacob (45'), Carballo (52'), Castro (68'), Suarez (80'), (90+3')

Coccaro (77'), Rodriguez (82')
Jul 22, 2018 11pm
Nacional
3-2
Torque
Aguiar (71'), Barcia (73'), Pais (85' og.)
Sena (15'), Brun (78' pen.)
Brun (42'), Rak (50'), Teuten (89'), Neira (94')