Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm

4

2

HT : 1 1

FT

Leandro Fernandez 23'
Christian Almeida 26'
Santiago Brunelli 53'
Santiago Brunelli 61'
Leandro Fernandez 62'

Thiago Borbas 1'
Facundo Bonifazi 45'
Luciano Boggio 59'
Marcos Montiel 90'

Nacional vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

D
W
L
W
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
L
W
W
D

Last game

Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm

Liverpool 2 - 2 Nacional

River Plate

All competitions

W
D
D
L
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
D
L
L
W

Last game

Nov 30, 2021 12.45pm

River Plate 4 - 2 Villa Espanola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 61.79%

Draw 22.46%

River Plate 15.75%

Both Teams to Score:

45.52%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.09%

Under 2.5 51.9%

Over 3.5 26.34%

Under 3.5 73.65%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 83.67%

Under 0.5 16.33%

Over 1.5 54.08%

Under 1.5 45.92%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 54.4%

Under 0.5 45.6%

Over 1.5 18.59%

Under 1.5 81.4%

Score analysis

Nacional 61.78%

Draw 22.46%

River Plate 15.75%

Nacional

1-0 @ 13.49%

2-0 @ 12.22%

2-1 @ 9.6%

3-0 @ 7.39%

3-1 @ 5.8%

4-0 @ 3.35%

4-1 @ 2.63%

3-2 @ 2.28%

5-0 @ 1.21%

4-2 @ 1.03%

Other @ 2.78%

Total : 61.78%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.59%

0-0 @ 7.45%

2-2 @ 3.77%

Other @ 0.65%

Total : 22.46%

River Plate

0-1 @ 5.85%

1-2 @ 4.16%

0-2 @ 2.3%

1-3 @ 1.09%

Other @ 2.35%

Total : 15.75%

Head to Head

Aug 21, 2021 7.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Gustavo Diaz 17'
Marcos Montiel 34'
Matias Arezo 45'+1'
Luciano Boggio 51'
Gonzalo Napoli 73'

Armando Mendez 24'
Martin Rodriguez 34'
Joaquin Trasante 40'
Gonzalo Bergessio 41'
Emiliano Martinez 46'
Gonzalo Bergessio 90'+2'

Feb 8, 2021 12.45am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Santiago Rodriguez 17'
Gonzalo Bergessio 34'
Gonzalo Bergessio 54'
Gabriel Neves 56'
Renzo Orihuela 76'

Marcos Montiel 38'
Facundo Bonifazi 78'
Gonzalo Viera 90'

Nov 12, 2020 5.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Jorge Fossati 17'
Facundo Ospitaleche 18'
Adrian Leites 38'
Diego Vicente 40'

Gonzalo Bergessio 52'
Emiliano Martinez 57'
Santiago Rodriguez 90'+2'

Aug 15, 2020 7.00pm

2

3

HT : 2 2

FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Adrian Leites 6'
Gonzalo Viera 21'

Gonzalo Bergessio 12'
Gonzalo Bergessio 45'+2'
Gonzalo Bergessio 76'

Oct 24, 2019 8.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Juan Olivera 8'
Luis Urruti 16'
Gonzalo Viera 41'
Maximiliano Calzada 47'
Adrian Leites 61'
Joaquin Fernandez 70'
Matias Arezo 78'

Rafael Garcia 32'
Gonzalo Bergessio 36'
Gonzalo Bergessio 85'
Gabriel Neves 89'

Aug 17, 2019 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mathias Laborda 7'
Guzman Corujo 28'
Thiago Vecino 34'
Matias Vina 35'
Thiago Vecino 59'
Brian Ocampo 82'

Joaquin Piquerez 1'
Luis Urruti 45'
Maximiliano Calzada 51'
Joaquin Piquerez 57'
Matias Arezo 61'
Adrian Leites 77'
Gaston Olveira 92'

Form Data

Liverpool 2 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 0 Cerrito

Maldonado 1 - 0 Nacional

Villa Espanola 1 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 2 - 0 Torque

Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional

River Plate 4 - 2 Villa Espanola

Torque 1 - 1 River Plate

River Plate 1 - 1 Penarol

Rentistas 1 - 0 River Plate

River Plate 0 - 1 Wanderers

Boston River 1 - 2 River Plate