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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
4 - 2
River Plate

Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
61.79%22.46%15.75%
Both teams to score 45.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09%51.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34%73.65%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.4%45.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59%81.4%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 61.78%
    River Plate 15.75%
    Draw 22.46%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 12.22%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 5.8%
4-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.28%
5-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 4.16%
0-2 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 1.09%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.75%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
Feb 8, 2021 12.45am
Nov 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
0-2
Nacional

Fossati (17'), Ospitaleche (18'), Leites (38')
Vicente (40')
Bergessio (52'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Martinez (57')
Aug 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
2-3
Nacional
Leites (6'), Viera (21')
Bergessio (12', 45+2', 76')
Oct 24, 2019 8pm
River Plate
3-1
Nacional
Olivera (8'), Urruti (16'), Leites (61')
Viera (41'), Calzada (47'), Fernandez (70'), Arezo (78')
Bergessio (36')
Garcia (32'), Bergessio (85'), Neves (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol98101941525
2ProgresoProgreso96302113821
3NacionalNacional95401881019
4Defensor SportingDefensor8431169715
5Boston RiverBoston River94321210215
6River PlateRiver Plate93331311212
7Racing de MontevideoRacing93331312112
8Cerro Largo933388012
9LiverpoolLiverpool92521413111
10DanubioDanubio9234610-49
11CerroCerro91531016-68
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers9225814-68
13Miramar Misiones91441115-47
14Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9216814-67
15FenixFenix9045511-64
16Rampla JuniorsRampla8116620-144


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