Maldonado
1 - 0
Nacional

Varela (79')
Varela (39'), Cotugno (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almeida (28'), Trasante (33'), Laborda (43'), Polenta (81'), Trezza (90+1')
Almeida (76')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Nacional
18.35%	23.34%	58.31%

Both teams to score 47.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.67%

51.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84%

73.16%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02%

41.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59%

78.41%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66%

17.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28%

47.72%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 18.35%

Nacional 58.3%

Draw 23.34%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 6.32% 2-1 @ 4.81% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.35%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 12.75% 0-2 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-4 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.61% Total : 58.3%