Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

May 29, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
Cerrito

Gigliotti (45+1'), Ramirez (87', 90')
Marichal (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Villoldo (70')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerrito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Cerrito
58.99% ( -1.16)	23.99% ( 0.82)	17.02% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.39% (

-2.5)

55.61% (

2.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.23% (

-2.08)

76.77% (

2.08)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

-1.34)

18.66% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.01% (

-2.29)

49.99% (

2.29)

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.86% (

-1.05)

46.13% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.17% (

-0.82)

81.82% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Nacional 58.98%

Cerrito 17.02%

Draw 23.99%

Nacional	Draw	Cerrito
1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.76) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.98%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.41% Total : 17.02%