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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Bragantino

Nacional
3 - 0
Bragantino

Trezza (9'), Candido (31'), Fagundez (84' pen.)
Candido (34'), Lozano (54'), Fagundez (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Praxedes (29'), Helinho (45+3'), Natan (70'), Silveira (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Nacional and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Bragantino

Last Six:
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Cuiaba vs. Bragantino
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Nacional 1-3 Bragantino

 Expect to see plenty of urgency from each side who will know that a victory could very well send them into the next round of the competition. The firepower of Mass Bruta should carry them through, as Nacional have made a lot more mistakes than their Brazilian adversaries, which is why we are favouring Bragantino to win this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawBragantino
33.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 28.09% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 38.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)58.78% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)79.3% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)32.98% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)69.57% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54%29.46% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 33.18%
    Bragantino 38.72%
    Draw 28.08%
NacionalDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.18%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 38.72%

How you voted: Nacional vs Bragantino

Nacional
42.3%
Draw
19.2%
Bragantino
38.5%
26
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 11pm
Bragantino
2-0
Nacional
Ytalo (35'), Hurtado (90+3')
Barbieri (25'), Jadsom (67'), Schwengber (81'), Evangelista (88')

Candido (29'), Repetto (30'), Trezza (66'), Ocampo (75')
rhs 2.0
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