Nacional vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.