Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 8, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Estudiantes4 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Aldosivi vs. Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Velez Sarsfield vs. Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Estudiantes | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
48.49% | 25.96% | 25.55% |
Both teams to score 49.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.94% | 54.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.51% | 75.49% |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% | 22.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% | 55.78% |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.68% | 36.33% |