Nacional
1 - 1
River Plate

Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	River Plate
57.42%	23.13%	19.45%

Both teams to score 50.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98%

49.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9%

71.1%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.8%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.61%

39.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91%

76.09%

Score Analysis

Nacional 57.41%

River Plate 19.45%

Draw 23.13%

Nacional	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 11.81% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 5.83% 4-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.41%	1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.26% Total : 19.45%