Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 14, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
0 - 0
Estudiantes

Candido (39'), Coelho (47'), Castro (53')

Morel (29'), Diaz (59')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: Aldosivi vs. Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Racing Club	14	15	30
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Estudiantes
35.45%	25.44%	39.11%

Both teams to score 56.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21%

47.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.02%

69.98%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87%

26.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8%

61.19%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59%

58.41%

Score Analysis

Nacional 35.45%

Estudiantes 39.11%

Draw 25.44%

Nacional	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.45%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.11%