Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio Saroldi

River Plate
2 - 0
Nacional

Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawNacional
35.73%25.37%38.9%
Both teams to score 56.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58%47.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36%69.64%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21%25.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26%60.74%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67%58.33%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 35.73%
    Nacional 38.9%
    Draw 25.36%
River PlateDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.9%

rhs 2.0


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