Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
May 9, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Fenix

Nacional
1 - 0
Fenix

Monzeglio (35' pen.)
Rodriguez (56'), Lozano (84'), Ramirez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schetino (45+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Fenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawFenix
58.38%24.22%17.4%
Both teams to score 43.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.09%55.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99%77.01%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44%50.56%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.17%45.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.41%81.59%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 58.37%
    Fenix 17.4%
    Draw 24.22%
NacionalDrawFenix
1-0 @ 14.46%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 2.02%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 58.37%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.8%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 17.4%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2021 6.45pm
Fenix
1-2
Nacional
Soria Marichal (44' og.)
Alfaro (62'), Nunez (88')
Cantera (13'), Mendez (76')
Cantera (55'), Fernandez (88')
Jun 13, 2021 7.30pm
Nacional
3-1
Fenix
Bergessio (9', 19', 28')
Trezza (37'), Piriz (40'), Garcia (42'), Mendez (78')
Mendez (1' og.)
Pallas (51'), Argacha (70')
Feb 21, 2021 11pm
Nacional
2-2
Fenix
Martinez (10'), Ocampo (30')
Oliveros (82'), Garcia (90+3')
Franco (15', 76')
Kaique (67'), Nequecaur (75')
Oct 18, 2020 10pm
Nacional
1-0
Fenix
Laborda (57')
Neves (44'), Laborda (60'), Cougo (70'), Yacob (90')

Rodriguez (43'), Nicolas Alaniz Acuna (47'), Nequecaur (80'), Coelho (90+5')
Aug 29, 2020 7pm
Fenix
1-2
Nacional
Olivera (56')
Coelho (48'), Toledo (81')
Castro (70'), Bergessio (90+4')
Yacob (43'), Neves (49'), Suarez (75')