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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 26, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Islas Malvinas

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 2
Nacional

Sonora (15')
Insua (45+3'), Gomez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gigliotti (31', 75')
Rochet (24'), Coelho (43'), Luis Rodriguez (59'), Candido (61'), Marichal (86'), Ocampo (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Velez Sarsfield vs. Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawNacional
45.57%26.39%28.04%
Both teams to score 50.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84%54.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43%75.57%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18%57.82%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66%34.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96%71.04%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 45.57%
    Nacional 28.04%
    Draw 26.38%
Velez SarsfieldDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.04%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Nacional

Velez Sarsfield
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Nacional
9.1%
11
rhs 2.0


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