Defensor
0 - 2
Nacional

Mallo (68'), Balboa (85'), Sant'Anna (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gigliotti (5'), Candido (77')
Monzeglio (23'), Trezza (40'), Coelho (53'), Gigliotti (87')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Nacional
27.27%	25.75%	46.97%

Both teams to score 51.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89%

52.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17%

73.83%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15%

33.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49%

70.52%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83%

22.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43%

55.58%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 27.27%

Nacional 46.97%

Draw 25.75%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.13% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.27%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.97%