Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.