Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.