Mar 8, 2021 12.45am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Felipe Carballo 23'
Emiliano Martinez 36'
Felipe Carballo 54'
Guzman Corujo 62'
Gonzalo Bergessio 80'

Facundo Milan 64'
Facundo Mallo 84'
Simeon Ivanov 90'+4'

Nacional vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

W
D
W
D
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
W
D
W
W

Last game

Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm

Cerro 0 - 1 Nacional

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

D
L
D
D
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
L
D
D
D
W

Last game

Feb 28, 2021 10.15pm

Defensor 1 - 1 Danubio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 45.68%

Draw 26.61%

Defensor Sporting 27.7%

Both Teams to Score:

49.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.8%

Under 2.5 55.2%

Over 3.5 23.57%

Under 3.5 76.43%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 75.9%

Under 0.5 24.1%

Over 1.5 41.61%

Under 1.5 58.39%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 64.85%

Under 0.5 35.15%

Over 1.5 28.09%

Under 1.5 71.91%

Score analysis

Nacional 45.68%

Draw 26.61%

Defensor Sporting 27.7%

Nacional

1-0 @ 12.05%

2-1 @ 8.97%

2-0 @ 8.58%

3-1 @ 4.25%

3-0 @ 4.07%

3-2 @ 2.22%

4-1 @ 1.51%

4-0 @ 1.45%

Other @ 2.58%

Total : 45.68%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.6%

0-0 @ 8.47%

2-2 @ 4.69%

Other @ 0.85%

Total : 26.61%

Defensor Sporting

0-1 @ 8.86%

1-2 @ 6.59%

0-2 @ 4.63%

1-3 @ 2.3%

2-3 @ 1.63%

0-3 @ 1.61%

Other @ 2.08%

Total : 27.7%

Head to Head

Nov 7, 2020 9.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Gonzalo Bergessio 38'
Mathias Laborda 43'
Ignacio Lores 48'
Emiliano Martinez 51'
Ayrton Cougo 62'
Joaquin Trasante 68'
Mathias Laborda 70'

Renzo Rabino 9'
Vicente Poggi 15'
Kevin Mendez 28'
Alvaro Navarro 70'

Sep 11, 2020 12.15am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Alvaro Gonzalez 25'
Andres Lamas 45'+1'
Alvaro Navarro 90'+1'
90'+4'

Agustin Oliveros Cano 36'
Agustin Oliveros 36'
Gonzalo Bergessio 62'
Mathias Suarez 82'
88'

Nov 21, 2019 11.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Mauricio Gomez 32'
Martin Rabunal 40'
Alvaro Gonzalez 42'
Mauricio Gomez 82'

Felipe Carballo 9'
Mathias Cardacio 36'
Gonzalo Bergessio 80'
Mathias Cardacio 80'
Guillermo Cotugno 83'
Guzman Corujo 84'

Jul 13, 2019 10.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Chory Castro 14'
Guillermo Cotugno 41'
Matias Zunino 53'
Rafael Garcia 63'
Gabriel Neves 74'
Guzman Corujo 94'

Nicolas Gonzalez 23'
Nicolas Gonzalez 31'
Martin Rabunal 42'
Alvaro Gonzalez 66'
Sebastian Fuentes 72'
Nicolas Correa 77'
Jonathan Gonzalez 90'

May 19, 2019 10.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Felipe Carvalho 39'
Rodrigo Amaral 57'
Matias Zunino 62'
Gabriel Neves 72'
Rafael Garcia 82'

Gonzalo Napoli 45'

Aug 26, 2018 10.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Ayrton Cougo 28'
Matias Santos 42'
Alvaro Navarro 57'
Guillermo Reyes 78'
Martin Rabunal 79'

Brian Ocampo 4'
Rodrigo Erramuspe 43'
Christian Oliva 63'
Gonzalo Bergessio 68'
Alfonso Espino 83'

Form Data

Cerro 0 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 2 - 2 Fenix

Progreso 0 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 1 Plaza Colonia

Torque 1 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 3 - 0 River Plate

Defensor 1 - 1 Danubio

Defensor 0 - 3 Liverpool

Cerro 0 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 2 - 2 Fenix

Progreso 3 - 3 Defensor

Defensor 3 - 2 Plaza Colonia