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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Feb 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
0 - 1
Nacional


Viega (28'), Sosa (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergessio (44')
Bergessio (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawNacional
26.39%28.11%45.49%
Both teams to score 44.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85%61.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9%81.1%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48%39.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79%76.2%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11%26.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8%62.2%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 26.39%
    Nacional 45.49%
    Draw 28.1%
ProgresoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-0 @ 1.42%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.39%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 13.95%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-3 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.32%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 45.49%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 8
Nacional
2-1
Progreso
Garcia (18'), Vecino (45')
Amaral (52')
Silva (76')
Nov 10, 2019 7pm
Progreso
0-1
Nacional

Gularte (51')
Rosso (30')
Laborda (69')
Garcia (63'), Ocampo (71'), Barrientos (77')
Jul 27, 2019 11.30pm
Nacional
4-2
Progreso
Zunino (45'), Laborda (67'), Bergessio (74', 88')
Neves Perdomo (40'), Vina (41'), Cardacio (62'), Barrientos (76')
Viega (4'), Gonzalez (81')
Gonzalez (40'), Ezequiel Rodriguez Alonso (91')
Gonzalez (82')
May 5, 2019 12am
Gameweek 11
Nacional
4-0
Progreso
Ramirez (3', 15', 49'), Rodriguez (21')
Zunino (29'), Vina (42')

Sosa (36'), Andrada (45'), Castillo (74')
Aug 19, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
1-0
Progreso
Barcia (25')
Oliva (45'), Cotugno (93')

Asconeguy (45'), Lemmo (59'), Zeballos (84'), Delgado (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Paul
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Rublev
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Andreeva
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Bronzetti
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Alexandrova
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Bejlek
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Cristian
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol98101941525
2ProgresoProgreso96302113821
3NacionalNacional95401881019
4Defensor SportingDefensor94321711615
5Boston RiverBoston River94321210215
6River PlateRiver Plate93331311212
7Racing de MontevideoRacing93331312112
8Cerro Largo933388012
9LiverpoolLiverpool92521413111
10DanubioDanubio9234610-49
11CerroCerro91531016-68
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers9225814-68
13Miramar Misiones91441115-47
14Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9216814-67
15Rampla JuniorsRampla9216821-137
16FenixFenix9045511-64


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