Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Feb 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso3 - 3Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Defensor Sporting.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 34.56% | 29.07% | 36.38% |
| Both teams to score 44.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
