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Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Único

Estudiantes
1 - 0
Nacional

Castro (41')
Noguera (62'), Morel (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lozano (17'), Luis Rodriguez (34'), Trezza (68'), Rodriguez (74'), Coelho (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Aldosivi vs. Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawNacional
50.58%23.8%25.62%
Both teams to score 56.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9%45.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56%67.44%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 50.58%
    Nacional 25.62%
    Draw 23.79%
EstudiantesDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.58%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.62%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 25.62%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2022 1am
Nacional
0-0
Estudiantes

Candido (39'), Coelho (47'), Castro (53')

Morel (29'), Diaz (59')
May 24, 2018 11.15pm
Estudiantes
3-1
Nacional
Otero (62' pen., 90' pen.), Melano (69')
Brana (34'), Lattanzio (36'), Desabato (45'), Dubarbier (56'), Melano (86'), Otero (91')
Brana (80')
Zunino (4')
Bergessio (61'), Oliva (64'), Polenta (89')
Bergessio (75'), Oliva (95')
Feb 28, 2018 10.15pm
Nacional
0-0
Estudiantes

Zunino (57'), Fucile (78'), Corujo (82')

Gimenez (36'), Brana (52')