Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estudiantes in this match.