Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 24, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
4 - 0
Estudiantes

Janson (21', 43'), Pratto (73'), Osorio (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Valdez (12'), Lattanzio (37'), Beltran (69'), Morel (85')
Valdez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: Aldosivi vs. Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Racing Club	14	15	30
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Estudiantes
37.36% ( 0.01)	27.99% ( -0.01)	34.65% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

0.02)

58.25% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11% (

0.02)

78.89% (

-0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98% (

0.02)

30.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85% (

0.02)

66.14% (

-0.02)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26% (

0.01)

31.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.84% (

0.01)

68.15% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 37.36%

Estudiantes 34.64%

Draw 27.98%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.36%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.64%