Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
May 21, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Albion

Rodriguez (70'), Zabala (79')
Marichal (24'), Castro (53'), Rodriguez (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Correa (21'), Platero (39'), Ancheta (84')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Albion
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Albion had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Albion win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawAlbion
60.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)16.78% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.61% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (0.064 0.06)51.58% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (0.057000000000002 0.06)73.37% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (0.01100000000001 0.01)16.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (0.016999999999996 0.02)46.57% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.085999999999999 0.09)44.05% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.07 0.07)80.16% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.41%
    Albion 16.78%
    Draw 22.81%
NacionalDrawAlbion
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 60.41%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 16.78%

rhs 2.0


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