Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 27, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parque Alfredo VĂ­ctor Viera

Albion
1 - 2
Danubio

Barrios Santos (16')
Neris (28'), Ibanez (45')
FT(HT: 1-2)
May (2'), Fernandez (27')
Bortagaray (9'), Rea (35')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Albion and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Albion
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Albion had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
AlbionDrawDanubio
24.15% (0.514 0.51)27.53% (0.294 0.29)48.31% (-0.81 -0.81)
Both teams to score 43.94% (-0.282 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41% (-0.616 -0.62)60.58% (0.612 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.32% (-0.467 -0.47)80.68% (0.46300000000001 0.46)
Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (0.13800000000001 0.14)41.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (0.124 0.12)77.75% (-0.128 -0.13)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.66 -0.66)25.23% (0.657 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-0.916 -0.92)59.97% (0.913 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Albion 24.15%
    Danubio 48.31%
    Draw 27.53%
AlbionDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.244 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.08% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 24.15%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.4% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 14.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.86% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 48.31%