Copa Sudamericana
Apr 13, 2022 11.15pm
2
0
HT :
1
0
FT
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San AgustÃn
-
Bernardo Cuesta
3'
-
Bernardo Cuesta
78'
-
Kevin Quevedo
90'+1'
-
Tiago Galletto
34'
-
Maxi Pereira
45'+1'
Melgar vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.
Result
Melgar
46.85%
Draw
24.69%
River Plate
28.46%
Both Teams to Score:
55.72%
Goals
Over 2.5
53.04%
Under 2.5
46.96%
Over 3.5
30.79%
Under 3.5
69.21%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
79.88%
Under 0.5
20.12%
Over 1.5
47.62%
Under 1.5
52.38%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5
69.75%
Under 0.5
30.25%
Over 1.5
33.58%
Under 1.5
66.42%
Score analysis
Melgar
46.85%
Draw
24.69%
River Plate
28.46%
Melgar
1-0
@
9.76%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.85%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 7.83%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.85%
Draw
1-1
@
11.66%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
River Plate
0-1
@
7.28%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.46%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.46%