Melgar
2 - 0
River Plate

Cuesta (3', 78')
Quevedo (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galletto (34'), Pereira (45+1')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.

Result
Melgar	Draw	River Plate
46.85%	24.69%	28.46%

Both teams to score 55.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04%

46.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79%

69.21%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88%

20.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62%

52.38%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75%

30.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58%

66.42%

Score Analysis

Melgar 46.85%

River Plate 28.46%

Draw 24.69%

Melgar	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.85%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.12% Total : 28.46%