-
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
42'
-
Francisco Fydriszewski
48'
-
Edison Vega
56'
-
Angel Viotti
67'
-
Angelo Matias Pizzorno Bracco
69'
-
Alex Carerra
78'
-
Bernardo Cuesta
7'
-
Alexis Arias
71'
-
Bernardo Cuesta
80'
-
Horacio De Dios Orzan
84'
Aucas vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 38.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.91%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aucas in this match.
Result
Aucas
39.05%
Draw
22.83%
Melgar
38.12%
Both Teams to Score:
66.06%
Goals
Over 2.5
65.07%
Under 2.5
34.93%
Over 3.5
43.09%
Under 3.5
56.91%
Aucas Goals
Over 0.5
81.48%
Under 0.5
18.52%
Over 1.5
50.26%
Under 1.5
49.74%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
81.07%
Under 0.5
18.93%
Over 1.5
49.56%
Under 1.5
50.44%
Score analysis
Aucas
39.05%
Draw
22.83%
Melgar
38.12%
Aucas
2-1
@
8.3%
1-0 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 39.05%
1-0 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 39.05%
Draw
1-1
@
9.84%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 3.51%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.83%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 3.51%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.83%
Melgar
1-2
@
8.19%
0-1 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 38.12%
0-1 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 38.12%