/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fbahlog.png)
-
Jefferson Gabriel Nascimento Brito
12'
-
Fessin
12'
-
Gregore
20'
-
Jefferson Gabriel Nascimento Brito
34'
-
Fessin
34'
-
Gilberto
35'
-
Alec Hugo Deneumostier Ortmann
61'
-
Alec Deneumostier
61'
-
Leonardo William Mifflin Cabezudo
89'
-
Leonardo Mifflin
89'
Bahia vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
Result
Bahia
48.35%
Draw
25.33%
Melgar
26.32%
Both Teams to Score:
52.03%
Goals
Over 2.5
48.97%
Under 2.5
51.03%
Over 3.5
27.11%
Under 3.5
72.89%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
78.88%
Under 0.5
21.12%
Over 1.5
46.04%
Under 1.5
53.97%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
65.96%
Under 0.5
34.04%
Over 1.5
29.28%
Under 1.5
70.72%
Score analysis
Bahia
48.34%
Draw
25.32%
Melgar
26.32%
Bahia
1-0
@
11.17%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.34%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.34%
Draw
1-1
@
12.04%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.32%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.32%
Melgar
0-1
@
7.75%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.32%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.32%