Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Oct 7, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Vasco da Gama

Bahia
3 - 0
Vasco

Rossi (10'), Gilberto (32'), Clayson (45+1')
Gregore (45+2'), Rossi (56'), Ramon (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Henrique (20'), Gomes (44'), Pec (77')
Gomes (67')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
44.87%27.54%27.58%
Both teams to score 46.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96%26.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92%61.08%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88%37.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1%73.9%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 44.87%
    Vasco da Gama 27.58%
    Draw 27.54%
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 8.67%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.58%