MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 13:17:54| >> :60:786:786:
Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 30, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Bahia

Melgar
1 - 0
Bahia

Paraiba (80' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gregore (67'), Danielzinho (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Melgar and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Melgar in this match.

Result
MelgarDrawBahia
37.65%27.08%35.27%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28%54.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96%76.04%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19%63.81%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4%65.6%
Score Analysis
    Melgar 37.65%
    Bahia 35.26%
    Draw 27.07%
MelgarDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.65%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 35.26%

rhs 2.0
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