Bahia
3 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Danielzinho (69'), Gilberto (80', 89')
Edson (39'), Gilberto (55'), Elias (85'), Alesson (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Savarino (21')
Alonso (67')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
30.59%	26.94%	42.46%

Both teams to score 49.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82%

55.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58%

76.42%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06%

32.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.48%

69.52%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3%

25.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38%

60.61%

Score Analysis

Bahia 30.59%

Atletico Mineiro 42.46%

Draw 26.94%

Bahia	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.59%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.46%