Carlos Manucci
1 - 2
Melgar

Carlos Fernandez Piedra (90+4'), Carlos Fernandez (90+4')
Pierre Fuentes (16'), Rodriguez (33'), Henry Fernandez Manzanares (50'), Fernandez (51'), Valentin Rabanal Jaramillo (73'), Rabanal (73')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Ariel Bordacahar (12', 41'), Bordacahar (12', 41')
Ariel Bordacahar (55'), Bordacahar (55'), Pereyra (58'), Pereyra (59'), Alessandro Reyna Lea (70'), Reyna (70')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Carlos Manucci and Melgar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Carlos Manucci had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Carlos Manucci win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.

Result
Carlos Manucci	Draw	Melgar
28.22%	26.02%	45.76%

Both teams to score 51.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.39%

52.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.74%

74.26%

Carlos Manucci Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63%

33.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30%

70%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05%

22.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28%

56.73%

Score Analysis

Carlos Manucci 28.22%

Melgar 45.76%

Draw 26.02%

Carlos Manucci	Draw	Melgar
1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.22%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.76%

Carlos Manucci1 - 2Melgar

Data Analysis

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Carlos Manucci
1 - 2
Melgar