Copa Sudamericana
Apr 20, 2021 11.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Abraham Bahachille 9' goal
  • Marco Bustillo 20' goal
  • Abraham Bahachille 29' yellowcard
  • S. J. Pabon Delgao 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Iberico 49'
  • goal Bernardo Cuesta 45'+5'
  • goal Luis Iberico 53'
  • goal Jhonny Vidales 88'

Metropolitanos vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metropolitanos

All competitions

Melgar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Metropolitanos 44.71%
Draw 23.31%
Melgar 31.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.66%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.25%
Under 2.5 38.74%
Over 3.5 38.94%
Under 3.5 61.05%

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5 82.28%
Under 0.5 17.71%
Over 1.5 51.62%
Under 1.5 48.38%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5 76.15%
Under 0.5 23.85%
Over 1.5 41.96%
Under 1.5 58.04%

Score analysis

Metropolitanos 44.71%
Draw 23.31%
Melgar 31.98%
Metropolitanos
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-2 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 44.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.31%
Melgar
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.98%