Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metropolitanos would win this match.