MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 20:58:17| >> :60:28:28:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Athletico Paranaense

Aucas
0 - 1
Athletico PR


Quinonez (59')
Cuero (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Erick (38')
Nikao (47'), Canesin (52'), Henrique (55')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aucas and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
AucasDrawAthletico Paranaense
47.97%23.05%28.98%
Both teams to score 61.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88%39.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55%61.45%
Aucas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.39%16.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.58%46.42%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1%25.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11%60.89%
Score Analysis
    Aucas 47.97%
    Athletico Paranaense 28.98%
    Draw 23.05%
AucasDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 5.6%
3-0 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.79%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.97%
1-1 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.98%

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