Cienciano
1 - 1
Melgar

(Melgar win 2-1 on aggregate)

Estrada (48', 48')
Cossio (38'), Fuentes (45'), Romero (51'), Emanuel Ibanez (90+3'), Ibanez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cuesta (23' pen.)
Deneumostier (14'), Orzan (29'), Tandazo (40'), Cuesta (45+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cienciano and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cienciano

Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Cienciano
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Melgar

Last Game: Racing 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Next Game: Melgar vs. Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Cienciano	Draw	Melgar
39.25%	23.55%	37.2%

Both teams to score 63.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.34%

38.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.04%

60.96%

Cienciano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97%

20.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.76%

52.24%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99%

21.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.21%

53.79%

Score Analysis

Cienciano 39.25%

Melgar 37.2%

Draw 23.55%

Cienciano	Draw	Melgar
2-1 @ 8.49% 1-0 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.11% Total : 39.25%	1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 4.21% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 8.24% 0-1 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.2%