Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR1 - 0Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Melgar.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Melgar |
| 45% | 23.16% | 31.84% |
| Both teams to score 63.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
