Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.