Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
1 - 2
Wanderers

Bernabei (84')
Gonzalez (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendez (87'), Bravo (90+2')
Estol (63'), Bravo (90+2'), Veglio (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
44.46% ( 0.01)	25.02% ( 0)	30.52% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.69% (

-0.03)

47.31% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.47% (

-0.03)

69.53% (

0.03)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.01)

21.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

-0.02)

54.24% (

0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

-0.02)

28.98% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

-0.03)

64.88% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Lanus 44.46%

Montevideo Wanderers 30.52%

Draw 25.02%

Lanus	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.46%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.52%