Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 12, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
3 - 1
Colon

Romero (41', 46'), Espinola (70')
Carrascal (2'), Jean (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Meza (31')
Aliendro (16'), Lertora (61'), Leguizamon (84')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Colon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Colon

Last Six:

Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Colon
Saturday, June 4 at 4pm in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: Colon vs. Union
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Union	13	-1	17
15	Colon	13	0	16
16	Godoy Cruz	12	-1	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Colon
34.89%	24.91%	40.2%

Both teams to score 57.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57%

45.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.24%

67.76%

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67%

25.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88%

60.12%

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49%

22.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93%

56.08%

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 34.89%

Colon 40.2%

Draw 24.9%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Colon
2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.89%	1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.71% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.2%