Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 29, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
0 - 3
Palmeiras

(Palmeiras win 8-0 on aggregate)

Espinola (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rony (61', 71'), Cerqueira (87')
Scarpa (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Avai 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	14	17	29
2	Corinthians	14	7	26
3	Internacional	14	7	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Palmeiras
17.23% ( 0.01)	24.56% ( 0)	58.21% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.69% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.67% (

0.01)

57.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

0.01)

78.16% (

-0.01)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.11% (

0.02)

46.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.6% (

0.01)

82.4% (

-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.38% (

-0)

19.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44%

51.56% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 17.23%

Palmeiras 58.2%

Draw 24.56%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.23%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 14.98% 0-2 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 58.2%