Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Cerro Porteno
60.58% ( 0.02)	23.37% ( -0)	16.05% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 43.64% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.2% (

-0.01)

54.79% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9% (

-0.01)

76.1% (

0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

17.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

48.48% (

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.07% (

-0.02)

46.92% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.57% (

-0.02)

82.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 60.57%

Cerro Porteno 16.05%

Draw 23.36%

Palmeiras	Draw	Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 60.57%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 16.05%