Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 73.4%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.35%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.